The Jury Map — September 20, 2026

Special edition. Written Sunday night, before the Egyptian eviction is official, on the assumption the house has been operating on for three days: Melody goes. If Sunday breaks differently, this map is struck and Monday's edition says so.

Correction, 10:10 PM PT: the version published at 9:58 PM had Lala leaning Dee in the Devens–Dee pairing on the strength of a "broken" Devens pledge; the record has the pledges, not their terms, and nothing that says they broke. With that inference removed her lean goes the other way, and the pairing is 5–2 with three soft votes rather than 4–3. The same version said the empty chairs were "the margin in four of the six" pairings; they reverse the seated jury's verdict in two. The table, the ledger and every sentence that quoted the old margin are corrected below, in place.

Why now

For eleven weeks this log has run the two games side by side: the weekly gauntlet everybody watches, and the electorate being built one bitter voter at a time by the people who'll face it. Tonight the second game is most of the way built. Five of the seven chairs in the jury room are filled or about to be. The two that aren't will be filled by two of the four people still in the house — which means every remaining player is, right now, both a candidate and a voter, and the map has to seat them as both.

So this is the F2 matrix the daily editions have been carrying in shorthand, written out in full: every possible final two, every juror, one vote at a time, argued from what each juror actually witnessed rather than from what the feeds know. Then the tally, then what it says about who can still win from here, then what would change it.

The electorate

Seven chairs. One housekeeping item first. The Log had carried Haley as a presumed first juror since the Year 1000 twist removed her on August 29 without a vote; the arithmetic never worked — Haley plus Lala, Angela, Barrett, Yash, tonight's evictee and the two still to be cut is eight, and Big Brother does not seat an even jury — and tonight's broadcast settled it. Haley went home. The jury is the standard seven: Lala, Angela, Barrett, Yash, Melody, and the two players still to be cut. That's how this map is built.

Five filled or filling.

• Lala — juror 1, evicted September 3, 4–2, on Drew's HOH. Kept by Angela and Melody.
• Angela — juror 2, evicted September 10, 3–2. Evicted by Devens, Taylor and Yash; kept by Drew and Melody.
• Barrett — juror 3, evicted September 17 in the double, 3–1. Evicted by Devens, Dee and Drew; kept by Melody.
• Yash — juror 4, evicted September 17, the second half of the double, 2–1. Evicted by Devens and Drew; kept by Taylor.
• Melody — juror 5, assumed tonight, by Dee's ballot and either Drew's or the HOH's tiebreak.

Two empty. Whoever is cut at four and whoever is cut at three. In every pairing below, the two remaining players who aren't in the seats are voting on it.

The jurors, one at a time

The rule this section runs on is the one the About page states and the archive keeps proving: juries vote from what happened to them, not from what the feeds saw. A juror's information is how they were evicted, how they were treated on the way out, what they witnessed before they left, and what the other jurors tell them in the house. What follows enumerates that for each chair, then gives the vote in each pairing with a confidence tier — solid (repeated behavior or multiple conversations point one way), lean (one good reason and no strong counter), and coin flip.

Lala

What she carries. Two things dominate. She learned on August 10, visibly stunned, that Dee has already won a million dollars on Survivor — she was the first houseguest to hold that fact, and she held it for weeks. And on the morning of her own eviction she and Devens exchanged pledges at the Crossovers meeting — the record has the pledges, not their terms¹ — and he cast a ballot against her that afternoon. Drew, the HOH who nominated her, had essentially zero contact with her all week. The two players who kept her, Angela and Melody, are both in the jury house with her now.

What she prices. Exit treatment first, like every juror — and hers came with silence from Drew, and from Devens a morning of pledges followed by an afternoon ballot, which she can read as a courtesy or as a betrayal depending on what was promised. The million is her second lens on Dee: not hostility, but a discount. "She already has one" is the cheapest sentence in any jury room, and Lala has been able to say it longer than anyone.

Her votes. Devens–Dee: coin flip, lean Devens — both cast ballots against her, so the ballots cancel; what's left is a morning of pledges from him, whatever their terms, against the million she was the first to know about. The one documented feeling she has about either finalist is the discount on Dee. Devens–Drew: Devens, solid — Drew nominated her and never spoke to her. Devens–Taylor: coin flip, lean Devens — Taylor was her fellow nominee, not a voter, so there's no ballot grievance either way, and Lala has never shown a read on Taylor's game;¹ resume decides it. Dee–Drew: Dee, solid. Dee–Taylor: lean Taylor — the discount on Dee is the only strong feeling in the pair. Drew–Taylor: Taylor, solid.

Angela

What she carries. Her eviction came from Devens, Taylor and Yash; her keeps came from Drew and Melody. Five days before it she and Dee, fellow nominees on Barrett's block, pledged jury vengeance on whoever took them out. Then the house flipped, and the vote landed on her. What Angela saw of that flip is limited; what she's been told since is not, because Barrett — the HOH who ran that week and watched the flip form in his own room — arrived in the jury house a week later.¹ Her exit read on Dee, on her way out the door, was that she "could beat Dee at F2." She had given Drew explicit permission, earlier in the game, to play the villain.

What she prices. Relationships over resumes, on the evidence of the villain permission and the two keeps. Her feelings about Dee are the interesting variable: a discount on the million she probably knows about,¹ a "beatable" read, and — if Barrett's account of the flip has landed — a broken vengeance pledge. That's three reasons not to vote Dee and none of them is warmth for Dee's opponents except Drew.

Her votes. Devens–Dee: lean Devens — he cast a ballot against her, but he's the game she'd concede to; Dee is the game she said she could beat. Devens–Drew: Drew, solid. Devens–Taylor: coin flip, lean Devens — both voted against her; resume decides. Dee–Drew: Drew, solid. Dee–Taylor: lean Dee — Taylor cast a ballot against her and Dee didn't, and jurors remember ballots; the discount cuts the other way, hence the lean rather than solid. Drew–Taylor: Drew, solid.

Barrett

What he carries. The clearest program in the room, because he wrote most of it out loud. Yash told him, before the double, that Drew was voting him out; Drew was. He had wanted a final two with Drew. On the way out he rated Devens above Dee, said he never got a hearing from Dee, and knows about the Bribe. Melody kept him.

What he prices. Devens high — the operator he respects. Dee cold — the partner who never talked to him and, as far as he's concerned, never had to earn anything. Drew hostile — the betrayal he was warned about and then received. Taylor neutral. He is also the juror most likely to be running the room's narrative on the flip that took Angela out, and on Drew's ballot history.

His votes. Devens–Dee: Devens, solid. Devens–Drew: Devens, solid. Devens–Taylor: Devens, solid. Dee–Drew: lean Dee — the only pair that puts his two grievances against each other; the personal betrayal outweighs the cold shoulder, and Dee's resume is real to him. Dee–Taylor: lean Taylor — neutral beats cold. Drew–Taylor: Taylor, solid.

Yash

What he carries. He conceded the pressure-cooker veto to Drew on a secret deal, and four days later Drew was one of the two ballots that evicted him. His exit line called Drew "the swing vote he couldn't count on." He said he was rooting for Taylor, Devens and Dee. Taylor cast the lone vote to keep him. He received Dee's five-thousand-dollar Bribe in Week 7, and as HOH in Week 6 he had a hand in keeping her.¹ He and Taylor talked final two on September 7.¹

What he prices. Loyalty, kept and broken. Drew's is the broken one and it's personal. Taylor's is the kept one, cast alone. Devens beat him with a veto in the double and then voted him out, and Yash's exit didn't hold it against him — the grievance went to the middleman, not the executioner.

His votes. Devens–Dee: lean Devens — warm to both and rooting for both by name; the man who beat him outright in the double and then voted him out drew no complaint on his way out, and that's the resume vote. Dee's warmth is real, but she never cast a ballot in his eviction, which cuts both ways. Devens–Drew: Devens, solid. Devens–Taylor: lean Taylor — the lone keep, and the only final two he ever talked about. Dee–Drew: Dee, solid. Dee–Taylor: Taylor, solid. Drew–Taylor: Taylor, solid — the clearest single vote on the map.

Melody

What she carries (assumed as of tonight). Two competition wins in the double, a nomination of Dee and Devens, and ownership of Yash's eviction — the best week anyone has had this season, followed by the worst. Then two full days as the stated target during which the HOH evicting her did not speak one word of game to her. Dee, who cast the deciding ballot, told her Devens was the one who wanted her out, promised to consider using a veto she didn't win, and put Melody's request for a vote conversation on hold so she could eat first. Drew shared her bed all week, kept the veto on himself, and told her he'd take Devens to the end; she wrote his receipt before she left — "not enough to use that damn veto on me." Taylor, her fellow nominee, laughed with her about it and spent the small hours telling her to give Drew a chance outside. Melody's own stated preference, said to Dee on Saturday, was to take Dee to the end over Drew "so a woman wins," and she told Dee that Taylor's game "is just like the girl that won last year."

What she prices. She's the most reliable sentimental voter in the house — four losing keeps in four contested evictions since Mallory, every one of them for the person she was closest to. As a juror that pattern translates directly: relationships first, resume second, and the resume she respects is the one she named (Taylor's). Her one hard grievance is silence, and it belongs to Devens.

Her votes. Devens–Dee: Dee, solid. Devens–Drew: lean Drew — the receipt is real, but two weeks of comfort beats two days of silence; if Drew's Sunday ballot is a keep, this firms up. Devens–Taylor: Taylor, solid. Dee–Drew: Dee, solid — "so a woman wins" was said about exactly this pair. Dee–Taylor: coin flip, lean Dee — she wants a woman to win either way; "you deserve to win" was said to Dee, and Taylor's game was praised as a type; the pledge outweighs the compliment by a little. Drew–Taylor: coin flip, lean Drew — the receipt against the bed; a Sunday keep from Drew decides it.

The chairs not yet filled

The two players cut at four and at three vote too, and they vote as jurors, not as the strategists the feeds have watched. Their programs, from what each has said about the others.

• Dee as a juror. She has said, to the camera and to Drew, that Devens is the favorite "and they're not wrong." She has offered Drew a final two and called him a little weasel in the same night. She prices Taylor as a player who "would bring me" — a compliment to Taylor's loyalty and a low rating of her game. Devens–Drew: Devens. Devens–Taylor: lean Devens — resume, unless he's the one who cut her at three, in which case the lean softens but probably holds; she's the player who said "it has to be you or me" and meant it as respect. Drew–Taylor: lean Drew — four comp wins against a survival resume she has already discounted.
• Devens as a juror. The most jury-backward player in the house, and the one who's said out loud that Dee is the only opponent he doesn't beat. Dee–Drew: Dee. Dee–Taylor: Dee. Drew–Taylor: Drew — he's never rated Taylor's game and has said so to Dee this week.
• Drew as a juror. He's told Melody and Devens he'd take Devens to the end, which is the vanity trap by its textbook name, and it tells you how he'd vote from the jury: for the game he admires. Devens–Dee: Devens. Devens–Taylor: Devens. Dee–Taylor: lean Dee — the heaviest edge he has left in the house; his warm beat with Taylor is one night old.
• Taylor as a juror. Six nominations, zero evictions, and a target of her own — Drew, disclosed to Dee on Friday. She's told Dee she wouldn't take Devens and that Drew would lose to him. "I am not sentimental," she said Saturday night, and her ballots back it up: the lone Rome keep nobody knows about, the lone Yash keep everybody does. Devens–Dee: Dee. Devens–Drew: lean Devens — she targets Drew and rates Devens's game, and the not-sentimental line says she'd vote the game. Dee–Drew: Dee.

The map

Rows are voters, columns are pairings. The first five rows are the seated jurors; the four "(if cut)" rows are the two empty chairs, filled by whichever remaining players aren't in the pairing — so a voter who's in the pairing doesn't vote on it. The shade of each cell is the confidence: the deepest blue is a solid call, the middle shade a lean, the faintest a coin flip.

solid   lean   coin flip

Six pairings, four of them settled by the room as it stands and two of them a single chair from turning — both of them Taylor's. The settled ones share a shape: Devens wins all three of his by three chairs, and Drew loses to Dee by five. The pairing the house actually talks about, Devens–Dee, is closer than its tally: three of Devens's five votes are soft, and two of them turning would hand it to Dee.

Who wins from here

The map prices the second factor of equity — the jury, given the opponent. The first factor is the seat, and the seat is the whole story for two of these four.

1. Devens. Wins every pairing on the map by three chairs, though the one that matters — Dee — rests on three soft votes (Lala, Angela, Yash), two of which would have to turn. That's the strongest jury position in the house by a distance, and it is attached to the weakest seat: at four, the HOH names two and the veto holder is the entire vote, and every non-HOH but Drew has named him as the threat or the cut. The daily has him nominated at four at 60 percent. He knows this. His best path is the one he's been building — Drew's HOH, or his own veto — and then the decision the map makes obvious: sit next to anyone but Dee, and cut her at three when she can't answer it. The archive calls that scheduled pruning. He has already said, to the camera, that she's the one he can't beat.

2. Dee. Beats Drew by five, beats Taylor by one, loses to Devens by three — two soft votes short of taking it. The only player besides Devens who wins more pairings than she loses, and the one whose seat depends on the partner she declared a final two with — who has priced her, correctly, as the opponent to avoid. Her equity is the Final Three decision, and she has three routes to surviving it: win the last competition herself, on a season of two HOHs and nothing since Week 7; be carried by Taylor, the vehicle she floated to the camera Saturday, who "would bring me, not Devens" and, on this map, would lose to her; or have Devens make the loyalty keep — the BB25 move that broke the naive matrix, and the one thing he's given no sign of. The million is her hidden variable. Every juror who knows it discounts her; the question is whether the room converges on "already has one" or on "won that and then did this." That conversation hasn't happened yet, because the jurors who'd argue the second reading are still in the house.

3. Drew. Wins exactly one pairing — Taylor, 4–3, and only because both icons vote for him from the jury — and loses the other two by three and five. His stated plan, Devens to the end, walks into the pair he loses worst. His correct play is the one he has refused all week and may refuse again tonight: carry the opponent he beats. The map is unambiguous that the opponent he beats is Taylor and the one he beats next best was Melody, whom he's about to help evict on a ballot the HOH told him he could waste. If Sunday's ballot is a keep, Melody's chair warms to him in two pairings and Drew–Taylor firms up. If it's an evict, the receipt is final and Drew–Taylor becomes the coin flip it already nearly is.

4. Taylor. Wins no pairing on the map as it stands, and loses two of them by a single chair — Dee and Drew — with Lala, Barrett and Yash as her three reliable votes, and any one soft vote on the other side enough to turn it: Melody in both, Angela against Dee, and whichever icon is cut. That's not nothing: a survival resume with six nominations and no evictions has won this show before, and she has the one asset the others don't, which is that nobody in the jury house is angry at her. Her problem is the two empty chairs. Both icons, from the jury, vote against her in every pairing, on resume — and the resume argument is the one she'd have to win on finale night against the room's most articulate jurors. Her path is narrower than the tally suggests and it runs through Dee: Dee wants her as the final-two vehicle, and a Dee who's cut at three by Devens becomes a juror who votes Dee's own read of Taylor. Taylor's best finale is against Drew with Melody warm to her, and her best chance at that finale is winning the last two competitions.

What would change the map

• Drew's ballot tonight. The cheapest jury management left in the house is a keep vote that changes nothing, and the HOH has pre-authorized it. A keep moves Melody's Devens–Drew and Drew–Taylor cells from lean and coin flip to solid; an evict leaves the receipt as the last thing he did to her.
• What the room decides about the million. Lala, Barrett and Yash all know; Angela probably does;¹ Melody will by tomorrow. Dee sits in three pairings, and Lala, Angela and Barrett carry the discount into all of them. If the room's narrative settles on it, she loses a chair in each; if it settles on the resume, she gains one.
• Melody's arrival story. "He never spoke to me" is a sentence that travels, and she'll say it to a room that already contains Barrett, who rates Devens highest of anyone. Two of the three soft Devens votes — Lala, Angela, Yash — would turn the Devens–Dee count, and Melody is the juror most likely to argue it.
• The Final Four cut. Whoever the veto holder evicts at four arrives with the freshest grievance in the room, and at three the cut is personal by definition. Every prospective-juror cell above assumes the cut player votes their stated read rather than their wound. The archive says exit treatment is priced above everything; the icons' cells are the ones to watch if either is the one cut.

Ledger

Six pair-conditional predictions, jury class, graded on the finale's revealed ballots for the pairing that occurs; the others are struck as unreached. Cell-level calls above are graded the same night, juror by juror. Jury-class ceiling applies: no single juror call above 75 percent, no pair call above 85.

Booked. The prospective jurors are the map's hidden half: the two empty chairs reverse the seated jury's verdict in two of the six pairings — both of Taylor's — and in every pairing but Dee–Drew the winner can't reach four without them, which is why a matrix that seats only the evicted gets the Drew–Taylor call backwards. And the arithmetic of the chairs is a fact about the game, not about the players — count the jury before pricing it.

The Jury Map is a Frost Log special edition, written Sunday, September 20, 2026, before the Egyptian eviction result was official, on the assumption of a Melody eviction; if that assumption fails, every call above is void and the next daily edition says so. Every juror's vote is argued from that juror's own information — how they left, who cast the ballots, what they said on the way out, and what the jurors who arrived after them can tell them — never from what the feeds saw and they didn't. Jury-class forecasts carry a hard ceiling: no single vote above 75 percent, no pairing above 85. Evidence grades: A = said privately and backed by behavior; B = repeated behavior or multiple independent conversations; C = a single statement, possibly performed; D = inference from silence, body language, or the edit. ¹ Thin sourcing: single-source, an ambiguous name, or an unclear timestamp. Unmarked claims are solidly sourced.